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Algemeiner

The latest IBD/TIPP 2012 Presidential Election Daily Tracking Poll shows Mitt Romney leading President Obama among likely Jewish voters by 4 points, with 44% of the vote versus 40% for Obama and 16% undecided. A lead for a Republican candidate among Jews would be a first in modern history.

Poll Shows Romney Leading Among Jewish Voters

Algemeiner

The latest IBD/TIPP 2012 Presidential Election Daily Tracking Poll shows Mitt Romney leading President Obama among likely Jewish voters by 4 points, with 44% of the vote versus 40% for Obama and 16% undecided. A lead for a Republican candidate among Jews would be a first in modern history.

The report on the poll includes a disclaimer that is specific to the Jewish demographic saying, “small sample size. Interpret with caution.”

The unprecedented and unlikely numbers have set social media networks ablaze with chatter. “Does not compute. I must be drunk,” wrote one Israeli journalist.

“The highest number I have seen was 40% for Reagan” Ken Kuson, former Chief Operating Officer of Rudolph Giuliai’s 2008 presidential campaign and Political Consultant at Jamestown Associates told The Algemeiner. “But,” he said, “I cant envision a scenario in which Romney gets 44 percent. I also cant imagine a scenario where Romney only gets 24%. I think he’s going to do a lot better than that.”

“It is a small sample size,” Kurson says, referencing the report’s disclaimer, ”the sample size for the big things that they are testing is fine, however 2 percent of Americans are Jewish, let’s say a maximum of 3 percent of respondents” he explained, “If there are 812 respondents you are talking about 24 Jews, so it’s not surprising that 11 of them would say they like Romney.”

Yesterday the IBD/TIPP poll showed President Obama leading Mitt Romney by 47% to 25% with 28% undecided. However, yesterday’s poll was conducted between October 4th and 9th and today’s poll was conducted between October 5th and October 10th, perhaps allowing more time for the results of a widely considered negative debate performance by President Obama on October 3rd to settle in.

As The Algemeiner noted yesterday, if at all close to reality, the poll number indicates a significant decline in Jewish support from the 78% of Jewish voters that backed the President in 2008, and is also a significant departure from a recent American Jewish Committee (AJC) poll released Sept. 27 that showed Obama with 65% of the Jewish vote.

IBD Editor Wes Mann did not immediately respond to The Algemeiner’s request for comment.

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10 Comments

  • obama is an anti semite...

    any jew that votes for obama is a retard since in essence you are supporting a new nuclear armed iran, and asking for somthing terrible to happen to israel r“l. so when it comes time to vote on november 6th-(for republicans) and november 7th-(for democrats) make sure you know that if you vote for obama you are telling israel ”I DONT CARE ABOUT YOU”

  • no surprise !

    GO MITT ROMNEY! I cannot believe anyone in their right mind would vote for Obama.

  • anon

    yes and romney and bibi are old buddies. like seriously old buddies. from the 1970’s. romney is the right choice for anyone who is pro-israel.

  • Milhouse

    Yes, the sample size is too small to draw any real conclusions, but SO ARE THE SAMPLE SIZES from which we get the historical numbers. How do we know that Reagan got 40% of the Jewish vote and McCain only 24%? That came from tiny samples too.

  • VOTE FOR YOUR LIFE

    We have to do our best and G-D will do his share. VOTE FOR ROMNEY!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Chas Vshalom that any JEW in their right mind should think otherwise.
    Obama wants to make sure thaere will be no Israel. He will not succeed but we have to have a huge turn out against him.